Australian medicine · graduate, undergraduate and international
Medical school chances calculator
Explore your options with eligibility checks, published cutoffs and historical community estimates. These are planning guides, not guarantees of an interview or offer.
Choose your pathway
Enter the results you have. Optional school-specific fields can make the comparison more useful.
School-specific GPAs (optional)
Enter these if you have calculated a separate Flinders or Melbourne GPA. Your existing inputs are kept when this panel is closed.
Flinders only. What GPA to use?
If you haven't, use your home university GPA (the raw GPA on your transcript, out of 7). That is a closer approximation than GEMSAS GPA, which applies a different weighting formula. Do not use your GEMSAS GPA here.
Melbourne only. What GPA to use?
If unsure, leave blank and the calculator will use your standard weighted GPA as a fallback. Use the yearly breakdown above to calculate it.
Your shortlist and next step
Read the suggested next step alongside the school-by-school detail below. Your inputs and the limits of the data matter.
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Per-university breakdown
Data dates and current applications
Historical comparisons: the GEMSAS graduate results summarise self-reported 2027-intake interview offers and rejections (applications made in 2026), and Flinders uses its own published 2027-entry interview cut-offs, with self-reported final offers from the same cycle as context. International comparisons use 2025 application-cycle reports. Undergraduate source years are stated in each school’s result. These datasets have not been relabelled as current cutoffs.
Current cycle: GEMSAS applications made in 2026 are for 2027 entry, and UCAT ANZ 2026 is used for relevant 2027 entry. Check the official GEMSAS dates and UCAT ANZ guidance. UCAT conversion and the undergraduate interview estimates were reviewed on 31 October 2026, after UQ, Adelaide, CQU, WSU, CSU and JMP released 2027 invitations. GEMSAS and Flinders figures were refreshed with 2027-intake reports on 31 October 2026. International figures were not refreshed.
Your data: the calculation runs locally, and your latest plan and inputs are saved in this browser so they are still there next visit (use "Clear them" above the form to remove them). Optional email delivery sends your address and plan to Key2MD. General completion events do not include score values or rural status. Newsletter signup is a separate choice.
How this calculator works
UCAT evidence reviewed in October 2026
Percentiles come from the official UCAT ANZ 2026 lookup. Published cutoffs come from the universities themselves, including Monash’s 2027 December cutoffs and UQ’s 2026 invitation scores.
Where a university publishes nothing, the estimate uses cutoffs applicants reported for the 2026 intake, mainly the MSO interview invitation data thread, MSO post-UCAT discussions and r/UCAT threads. A figure is used only when several reports agree. It is labelled as applicant-reported and widened for year-to-year movement, and the sources are linked in each card. These reports are self-selected and skew towards higher scores. That is why the tool shows bands rather than percentages.
For undergraduate medicine, Australian universities do not share one common formula. Some use UCAT heavily, some use it only as a tiebreaker, and some do not use UCAT at all. The undergraduate calculator uses the official 2026 UCAT ANZ percentile lookup and checks the academic and study-stage information entered. It then compares you with each school’s published cutoff or, where none is published, with cutoffs applicants reported for the 2026 intake, for your applicant group (local, interstate, rural or local-priority). Schools without a reliable figure are marked that way rather than guessed.
The UCAT mode covers school-leaver pathways at UNSW, WSU, CSU, JMP, UQ, Monash, Adelaide, Flinders, Curtin, UWA, UTAS, Griffith, UniSC, JCU, Bond, CDU and related regional pathways. Results are bands (likely, borderline, reach, unlikely), not percentages, because no source reports how many comparable applicants were turned down.
For graduate medicine, most GEMSAS-consortium medical schools rank applicants for interview on a combo score: GPA / 7 + relevant GAMSAT / 100. The important detail is that the relevant GAMSAT score is not identical for every university.
Deakin, ANU, Griffith, UWA and Macquarie use the ACER overall GAMSAT score. UoM, UQ, UNDS and UNDF use the unweighted average of Sections 1, 2 and 3. For postgraduate medicine, CASPer is used only by UoW, UNDS and UNDF. The other postgraduate universities do not factor CASPer in at all.
The big strategy point: if your combo is below about 1.70, or only barely competitive for the normal GPA/GAMSAT schools, CASPer may be the highest-return part of the application only if UoW, Notre Dame Sydney or Notre Dame Fremantle are on your list. Students often spend years protecting GPA and one to three years chasing GAMSAT, then do very little CASPer preparation. That creates an opportunity: Q4 is more attainable than many students assume with deliberate practice, and it is worth a lot at those three postgraduate CASPer schools.
For example, a 1.65 combo may not feel comfortable for the University of Melbourne, where CASPer is not considered at all, but it can be extremely live at UNDS or UNDF with Q4 CASPer. UoW is even more CASPer-driven: once GPA and GAMSAT hurdles are cleared, interview ranking is driven by CASPer and bonuses rather than the usual combo.
If your GEMSAS GPA is below about 5.8, the calculator treats GPA as the major constraint. In that case, consider UoW if you clear the hurdles and can build CASPer plus bonuses. Separately, consider a new bachelor if GPA repair is realistic, or Honours only if you can reliably aim for First Class and are specifically targeting schools where that changes the GPA treatment, such as UQ.
This tool compares your combo score with school-level aggregates of 2027-intake interview offers and rejections at ten Australian medical schools, combined from several public sources and de-duplicated. Each school's cut-off line is the combo that best separates reported offers from reported rejections (for Notre Dame, among Q4 CASPer applicants), rounded to three decimals. Entries flagged as incomplete and clearly implausible entries are left out. The range bars show where your score sits relative to the median and 1 standard deviation of reported interview offers at each school. No individual applicant's result is reproduced.
Why a "cutoff" isn't actually a hard number
University cutoffs vary every year based on the strength of the applicant pool, how many students ranked the school highly as a preference, and category-specific admission quotas (domestic, rural, bonded, etc). A cutoff that was 1.67 last year could be 1.69 this year. Use the cutoff line as a reasonable lower bound, not a firm threshold.
Schools with special rules
- WSU and CSU Medicine - Separate programs from 2027. WSU weights UCAT sections for interviews, with Verbal Reasoning appearing to count extra. CSU ranks UCAT alone and gives about 80% of its interviews to rural applicants. Both weight final offers 75% interview, 25% UCAT.
- JMP Medicine - Uses the UCAT cognitive aggregate for Assessment invitations, with separate cutoffs for the Communities Entry List, rural and other applicants. Applicants reported the 2026-intake non-local cutoff at 2510 and the 2027-intake cutoff at about 2470.
- Griffith and UTAS - Are more ATAR-primary than UCAT-primary. UCAT acts as a secondary ranking/tiebreaker rather than the main gate.
- JCU and Bond - Do not use UCAT. JCU Medicine uses academic results and interview; Bond uses academic screening, psychometric testing and interview.
- University of Melbourne, University of Queensland, Notre Dame Fremantle and Notre Dame Sydney - Use the unweighted GAMSAT section average rather than the ACER overall weighted score.
- University of Notre Dame (Fremantle & Sydney) - Uses CASPer as a formal selection component alongside GPA, unweighted GAMSAT and bonuses. A student with a modest combo but a high CASPer (Q4) can still get interviewed, and vice versa. Acuity reports CASPer only as a quartile, so the calculator fits a separate cut-off for each quartile from reported outcomes: each quartile step was worth about 0.056 combo in 2027-intake reports (UNDS about 1.60 with Q4, 1.66 with Q3, 1.71 with Q2; UNDF about 1.53, 1.58 and 1.64). No Q1 interview offers were reported. Within one step of your quartile's cut-off is a grey zone, because where you sit inside the quartile (76th or 99th percentile) is hidden from you but not from the school.
- University of Wollongong (UoW) - Doesn't rank on combo. Uses GPA and GAMSAT hurdles, then a 50% Casper / 50% bonus ranking. With 12 equal bonuses, each selected bonus is about 4.17 points on the bonus half. Among applicants who reported a UoW interview for 2027 entry, the median was 4 bonuses for non-rural applicants and 5 for rural applicants.
- University of Melbourne - Uses its own GPA (last three years weighted 1:2:2, not the GEMSAS 1:2:3). Applicants approved for Graduate Access Melbourne (GAM) may be re-ranked by level of disadvantage, Guaranteed Entry and Indigenous pathway applicants are not ranked, and rural-background applicants can be selected above higher-ranked applicants to fill the rural quota. These rules, plus self-reports that use the wrong GPA, are why reported offers and rejections overlap around 1.65 to 1.69.
- University of Queensland - Uses a key-degree GPA: the whole of the most recently completed key degree (which can be Honours, a Masters or a new Bachelor), weighted by credit points rather than by year. It ranks within pathways, taking regional pathway applicants in tiers (local residents, then any rural background, then everyone else), and gives rural applicants two GAMSAT adjustments. Self-reported UQ combos often use the GEMSAS GPA instead, which is the main reason UQ's reported offers and rejections overlap from about 1.64 to 1.70.
Where official formulas are published, this calculator now applies school-specific bonus handling: Deakin and ANU percentage adjustments, UQ/UWA/Griffith GPA overrides, Macquarie's capped GPA bonus, and UOW's 50% Casper / 50% bonus ranking estimate. CASPer is not applied to any other postgraduate school in this calculator because those schools do not use it. Where formulas are not published, the option is kept as a qualitative flag rather than an invented number.
For plain-English school-by-school rules, use the Australian medical school entry requirements guide. It breaks down Deakin bonuses, UOW CASPer ranking, UQ GPA overrides, Notre Dame CASPer selection, and the other GEMSAS school exceptions in one place.
Rural / priority category
Australian medical schools reserve a proportion of places for applicants from rural, regional, and remote backgrounds. In 2027-intake reports, the lowest plausible rural offers sat about 0.10 to 0.35 combo points lower than non-rural cut-offs. The data for rural applicants is much sparser than for non-rural - treat rural results as a very loose guide and expect wider variation year-to-year.
Frequently asked questions
What UCAT percentile do I need for undergraduate medicine in Australia?
There is no single required percentile. It depends on whether you are local, interstate or rural. Monash’s 2027 December cutoff was 2390 (93rd percentile) for Victorians and 2120 (70th) for its Dean’s Rural List, while interstate applicants to UQ, Adelaide and JMP reported needing about the 98th to 99th. WSU weights sections, Curtin also ranks CASPer, Griffith and UniSC use UCAT only within ATAR bands, and JCU and Bond do not use it.
Why does the calculator use UCAT percentile instead of only total score?
Your 2026 cognitive total is converted using a saved copy of the official UCAT ANZ 2026 lookup. For example, 1950 maps to the 50th percentile and 2240 to the 82nd. Interview places stay roughly fixed, so cutoffs follow cohort position. A cutoff reported on the 2025 test is therefore moved to the same position on the 2026 test, usually 20 to 40 points higher. Older 3600-format scores cannot be converted.
Are the Reddit UCAT cutoffs official?
Only some are. Monash, UQ, Griffith, UniSC and Flinders publish some figures. Other cutoffs come from applicant reports, which are self-selected and often leave out the pathway, round or adjustments. The calculator uses a reported figure only when several reports agree, labels it as applicant-reported, widens the range and links the sources.
How is the combo score calculated?
Combo = GPA / 7 + relevant GAMSAT / 100. GPA is the GEMSAS-calculated GPA (not your university's raw GPA - they're often different). The calculator uses ACER overall GAMSAT for weighted-score schools and the S1/S2/S3 average for UoM, UQ, UNDS and UNDF. UWA is the exception for 2027 entry: it ranks interviews on 60% GPA and 40% GAMSAT, so its combo is 1.2 x GPA / 7 + 0.8 x GAMSAT / 100.
What combo score do I need for medical school interviews in Australia?
Estimated from self-reported 2027-intake interview outcomes: Deakin 1.71, ANU 1.68, UoM 1.67, UQ 1.65, Griffith 1.65, Macquarie 1.60, UNDS 1.60 and UNDF 1.53 (Notre Dame figures assume a Q4 CASPer), and UWA 1.68 on its 60% GPA, 40% GAMSAT scale. Rural reports are sparse and sat about 0.10 to 0.35 lower. These figures are not published by universities and change year to year. Treat them as planning benchmarks, not hard thresholds.
Is a GAMSAT of 65 enough for medical school in Australia?
A relevant GAMSAT score of 65 combined with a GPA of 6.5 gives a combo of ~1.58 - below most non-rural cutoffs except UNDF with a Q4 CASPer. A 65 with a GPA of 7.0 gives a combo of ~1.65 - around the cut-off at UQ and Griffith and above it at Macquarie and Notre Dame with a Q4 CASPer. For UoM, UQ and Notre Dame, use your unweighted section average rather than your ACER overall score.
What GPA do I need for medical school in Australia?
A GEMSAS GPA of 6.5+ keeps many schools in reach, especially if your GAMSAT is solid or if UoW/UNDS/UNDF are realistic because those are the only postgraduate CASPer schools. Below 6.0 becomes difficult except at Notre Dame, which formally uses CASPer, and UoW, which uses hurdles plus CASPer and bonuses. A 7.0 GPA is powerful, but a GAMSAT around the low 60s is still not automatically competitive everywhere; the normal combo schools may still need a stronger GAMSAT.
Does CASPer matter for Australian medical schools?
For postgraduate medicine, CASPer matters only at University of Wollongong, Notre Dame Fremantle and Notre Dame Sydney. It is not considered at UoM, UQ, Deakin, ANU, Griffith, UWA, Macquarie or the other non-CASPer postgraduate pathways. If your normal combo is below about 1.70 and UoW/UNDS/UNDF are realistic targets, CASPer is often the highest-return area to improve because many applicants barely prepare it compared with GPA and GAMSAT. See the CASPer guide or use the CASPer practice tool.
How accurate is this calculator?
The undergraduate mode uses the official UCAT ANZ lookup, published university cutoffs and dated applicant reports, and shows estimated bands rather than percentages. The graduate comparison uses school-level aggregates combined from several public sources: published university rules, cut-offs and cohort statistics, applicant self-reports in public forum threads and community-collated outcome trackers, de-duplicated before calculation. The underlying reports include obvious outliers, is self-selecting (only students who choose to share results are included), and cannot fully capture structured applications, unpublished bonus-point conversions, category-specific quotas, interview year-to-year variation, preference order effects, or post-offer rejections. Calculations run locally, and your latest plan is saved in this browser. Optional email delivery sends your address and plan to Key2MD. Treat results as informational only.
Want a 15-minute call to discuss your chances or GEMSAS preference strategy?
If you have your numbers but still feel unsure how to order schools, where CASPer or bonuses matter, or which application risks are worth taking, use the strategy pill at the top of this page. It opens a $75 paid 15-minute call option; after payment, Dan will message you with available times.
Disclaimer & data notes
1. Nature of this tool
This calculator is provided by Key2MD free of charge as general information for educational and informational purposes only. It is not, and must not be relied on as, admissions, academic, career, financial, legal or other professional advice. It does not take into account your individual objectives, circumstances or needs. All views expressed are the personal opinions of the author and not those of any university or organisation.
2. Estimates only; no guarantee of any outcome
Every output of this tool, including verdicts, bands, estimated cut-offs, medians, ranges, gaps, counts and suggested next steps, is an estimate. No output is a prediction, assessment, offer, promise or representation of the likelihood of any outcome. Key2MD does not guarantee, and nothing on this page or in any shared result is to be read as stating or implying, that any person will or will not receive an interview, offer, place, scholarship or any other outcome at any institution. Nothing is guaranteed.
3. Much of the admissions process is unknown
Selection is determined solely by each university, GEMSAS, UCAT ANZ, tertiary admissions centres and other admissions bodies. Much of each process is not public and cannot be known in advance, including the size and strength of the applicant pool, unpublished weightings, scaling and conversions, quotas and sub-quotas, preference effects, special-entry and access schemes, re-ranking, verification of documents and eligibility, Casper scoring within a quartile, and interview performance. Any of these may change in any cycle without notice. This tool cannot model these factors, and its outputs may differ materially from actual outcomes.
4. Not affiliated
This tool is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or representative of any university, medical school, GEMSAS, UCAT ANZ, Acuity Insights, any tertiary admissions centre, any medical body, educational institution or regulator, or any applicant community or the people who collect applicant reports.
5. Data sources and their limitations
The undergraduate mode uses the official 2026 UCAT ANZ score-to-percentile lookup and published university cutoffs. Where none exist, it uses applicant-reported cutoffs from the 2026 and 2027 intakes, each labelled with its evidence level. It shows estimated bands, not probabilities. The community competitiveness model described below applies to graduate comparisons.
Official eligibility rules are drawn from publicly available university, UCAT ANZ and tertiary admissions pages. Competitiveness estimates are rounded school-level aggregates built from several public sources: university-published selection rules, cut-offs and cohort statistics (for example Flinders' published interview cut-offs and the Deakin and UQ intake averages), applicant self-reports in public forum threads (including interview-invite and final-offer threads, where a final offer or a post-interview outcome confirms an interview at that school), and community-collated outcome trackers. Reports are de-duplicated across sources before any figure is calculated. Relying on a single source often misses detail such as pathway, CASPer quartile, bonus status or the GPA a school actually uses, so combining sources gives more reliable aggregates. Only aggregate figures (estimated cut-offs, medians, spreads and counts) are shown; no individual applicant's report is reproduced. This tool is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or authorised by any applicant community or the people who collect these reports. Community data is self-selecting, unverified, may include errors or outliers, and does not represent the full applicant population at any university. Rural/category data is particularly sparse.
Self-reported data is voluntary, unverified, incomplete and self-selecting, may contain errors, and does not represent all applicants. Key2MD has not verified any individual report.
6. Factors this tool does not account for
Actual admission decisions depend on many factors this tool cannot fully model, including but not limited to: structured applications, unpublished bonus conversions, preference order, category-specific quotas, international vs domestic status, Graduate Access Melbourne (GAM) re-ranking, Casper scaling at UoW and Notre Dame, year-to-year cut-off variation, changes to school-specific weightings, and interview performance itself.
7. No warranty
To the extent permitted by law, the tool and its outputs are provided "as is" and Key2MD makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to their accuracy, completeness, currency, reliability or suitability for any purpose. Admission requirements change. Always confirm current requirements directly with GEMSAS, the relevant university and any relevant admissions body before making any application, preference, study, enrolment, test or financial decision.
8. Limitation of liability
To the maximum extent permitted by law, Key2MD, Dan and their associated persons and entities exclude all liability, whether in contract, tort (including negligence), statute or otherwise, for any loss, damage, cost or expense (including direct, indirect, incidental or consequential loss, and loss of opportunity) arising from or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, this tool or its outputs. You are solely responsible for verifying information and for your own decisions.
9. Australian Consumer Law
Nothing in this disclaimer excludes, restricts or modifies any consumer guarantee, right or remedy under the Australian Consumer Law (Schedule 2 to the Competition and Consumer Act 2010 (Cth)) or any other law that cannot lawfully be excluded, restricted or modified.
10. Sharing your results
You may share a summary or link of your own results for personal, non-commercial purposes. A shared link recalculates using the figures current when it is opened, so results may differ over time and from what the sharer saw. Results must not be republished, sold, or used as the basis of advice to third parties without Key2MD's written permission. Anyone who shares a result remains bound by, and should pass on, this disclaimer.
11. Changes
Figures, methods and this disclaimer may be updated or withdrawn at any time without notice. GEMSAS and Flinders figures were last refreshed on 31 October 2026. Undergraduate UCAT conversion and interview estimates were reviewed on 31 October 2026. International figures reflect 2025-cycle reports.
12. Your data
Calculations run in your browser, and your latest plan and your graduate and undergraduate inputs are saved in this browser until you clear them. A shared link stores your inputs after the "#" in the address, which browsers do not send to our servers, but anyone who has the link can see those inputs. If you are logged in, a copied link may also include your referral code. Optional emailing sends your address and plan to Key2MD for delivery. General completion analytics exclude score values and rural status. Newsletter signup is separate. See the privacy policy for full details.
Plan your next step
Use these related resources to connect your preparation with your application and interview plans.
- ANU medicine entry requirements
- Deakin medicine entry requirements
- Griffith medicine entry requirements
- Macquarie medicine entry requirements
- Melbourne medicine entry requirements
- Notre Dame Fremantle medicine entry requirements
- Notre Dame Sydney medicine entry requirements
- Wollongong medicine entry requirements
- UQ medicine entry requirements
- UWA medicine entry requirements